2021 5A-1 Preseason Composite Rankings




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How do our forecasts work?

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Houston - 2021 6A District 16

Click here to learn how my forecasts work Elo Rating - The rating assigned to a team, which changes every week based on if they win or lose, as well as by the quality of the opponent.  Percentile - The percent of teams within their classification that this team is ranked above.  1 week change - How much the teams Elo rating changed as a result of the last game.  Record - The most likely record that the team will end the regular season with, based on thousands of simulations.  Point diff. - The average of the difference in points scored and points allowed in the regular season, based on thousands of simulations. Make Playoffs - The chance the team will make playoffs, based on thousands of simulations of the remainder of the season. These are rounded, so the totals may not add up to 400%. 
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