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Showing posts from July, 2021

Fort Worth - 2021 6A District 8

Click here to learn how my forecasts work Elo Rating - The rating assigned to a team, which changes every week based on if they win or lose, as well as by the quality of the opponent.  Percentile - The percent of teams within their classification that this team is ranked above.  1 week change - How much the teams Elo rating changed as a result of the last game.  Record - The most likely record that the team will end the regular season with, based on thousands of simulations.  Point diff. - The average of the difference in points scored and points allowed in the regular season, based on thousands of simulations. Make Playoffs - The chance the team will make playoffs, based on thousands of simulations of the remainder of the season. These are rounded, so the totals may not add up to 400%. 

Austin - 2021 6A District 26

Click here to learn how my forecasts work Elo Rating - The rating assigned to a team, which changes every week based on if they win or lose, as well as by the quality of the opponent.  Percentile - The percent of teams within their classification that this team is ranked above.  1 week change - How much the teams Elo rating changed as a result of the last game.  Record - The most likely record that the team will end the regular season with, based on thousands of simulations.  Point diff. - The average of the difference in points scored and points allowed in the regular season, based on thousands of simulations. Make Playoffs - The chance the team will make playoffs, based on thousands of simulations of the remainder of the season. These are rounded, so the totals may not add up to 400%. 

McAllen - 2021 6A District 31

Click here to learn how my forecasts work Elo Rating - The rating assigned to a team, which changes every week based on if they win or lose, as well as by the quality of the opponent.  Percentile - The percent of teams within their classification that this team is ranked above.  1 week change - How much the teams Elo rating changed as a result of the last game.  Record - The most likely record that the team will end the regular season with, based on thousands of simulations.  Point diff. - The average of the difference in points scored and points allowed in the regular season, based on thousands of simulations. Make Playoffs - The chance the team will make playoffs, based on thousands of simulations of the remainder of the season. These are rounded, so the totals may not add up to 400%. 

Houston - 2021 6A District 23

Click here to learn how my forecasts work Elo Rating - The rating assigned to a team, which changes every week based on if they win or lose, as well as by the quality of the opponent.  Percentile - The percent of teams within their classification that this team is ranked above.  1 week change - How much the teams Elo rating changed as a result of the last game.  Record - The most likely record that the team will end the regular season with, based on thousands of simulations.  Point diff. - The average of the difference in points scored and points allowed in the regular season, based on thousands of simulations. Make Playoffs - The chance the team will make playoffs, based on thousands of simulations of the remainder of the season. These are rounded, so the totals may not add up to 400%. 

San Antonio - 2021 6A District 27

Click here to learn how my forecasts work Elo Rating - The rating assigned to a team, which changes every week based on if they win or lose, as well as by the quality of the opponent.  Percentile - The percent of teams within their classification that this team is ranked above.  1 week change - How much the teams Elo rating changed as a result of the last game.  Record - The most likely record that the team will end the regular season with, based on thousands of simulations.  Point diff. - The average of the difference in points scored and points allowed in the regular season, based on thousands of simulations. Make Playoffs - The chance the team will make playoffs, based on thousands of simulations of the remainder of the season. These are rounded, so the totals may not add up to 400%. 

Dallas - 2021 6A District 11

Click here to learn how my forecasts work Elo Rating - The rating assigned to a team, which changes every week based on if they win or lose, as well as by the quality of the opponent.  Percentile - The percent of teams within their classification that this team is ranked above.  1 week change - How much the teams Elo rating changed as a result of the last game.  Record - The most likely record that the team will end the regular season with, based on thousands of simulations.  Point diff. - The average of the difference in points scored and points allowed in the regular season, based on thousands of simulations. Make Playoffs - The chance the team will make playoffs, based on thousands of simulations of the remainder of the season. These are rounded, so the totals may not add up to 400%. 

Houston - 2021 6A District 15

Click here to learn how my forecasts work Elo Rating - The rating assigned to a team, which changes every week based on if they win or lose, as well as by the quality of the opponent.  Percentile - The percent of teams within their classification that this team is ranked above.  1 week change - How much the teams Elo rating changed as a result of the last game.  Record - The most likely record that the team will end the regular season with, based on thousands of simulations.  Point diff. - The average of the difference in points scored and points allowed in the regular season, based on thousands of simulations. Make Playoffs - The chance the team will make playoffs, based on thousands of simulations of the remainder of the season. These are rounded, so the totals may not add up to 400%. 

San Antonio - 2021 6A District 27

Click here to learn how my forecasts work Elo Rating - The rating assigned to a team, which changes every week based on if they win or lose, as well as by the quality of the opponent.  Percentile - The percent of teams within their classification that this team is ranked above.  1 week change - How much the teams Elo rating changed as a result of the last game.  Record - The most likely record that the team will end the regular season with, based on thousands of simulations.  Point diff. - The average of the difference in points scored and points allowed in the regular season, based on thousands of simulations. Make Playoffs - The chance the team will make playoffs, based on thousands of simulations of the remainder of the season. These are rounded, so the totals may not add up to 400%. 

Houston - 2021 6A District 14

Click here to learn how my forecasts work Elo Rating - The rating assigned to a team, which changes every week based on if they win or lose, as well as by the quality of the opponent.  Percentile - The percent of teams within their classification that this team is ranked above.  1 week change - How much the teams Elo rating changed as a result of the last game.  Record - The most likely record that the team will end the regular season with, based on thousands of simulations.  Point diff. - The average of the difference in points scored and points allowed in the regular season, based on thousands of simulations. Make Playoffs - The chance the team will make playoffs, based on thousands of simulations of the remainder of the season. These are rounded, so the totals may not add up to 400%. 

Houston - 2021 6A District 18

Click here to learn how my forecasts work Elo Rating - The rating assigned to a team, which changes every week based on if they win or lose, as well as by the quality of the opponent.  Percentile - The percent of teams within their classification that this team is ranked above.  1 week change - How much the teams Elo rating changed as a result of the last game.  Record - The most likely record that the team will end the regular season with, based on thousands of simulations.  Point diff. - The average of the difference in points scored and points allowed in the regular season, based on thousands of simulations. Make Playoffs - The chance the team will make playoffs, based on thousands of simulations of the remainder of the season. These are rounded, so the totals may not add up to 400%. 

Houston - 2021 6A District 24

Click here to learn how my forecasts work Elo Rating - The rating assigned to a team, which changes every week based on if they win or lose, as well as by the quality of the opponent.  Percentile - The percent of teams within their classification that this team is ranked above.  1 week change - How much the teams Elo rating changed as a result of the last game.  Record - The most likely record that the team will end the regular season with, based on thousands of simulations.  Point diff. - The average of the difference in points scored and points allowed in the regular season, based on thousands of simulations. Make Playoffs - The chance the team will make playoffs, based on thousands of simulations of the remainder of the season. These are rounded, so the totals may not add up to 400%. 

Houston - 2021 6A District 15

Click here to learn how my forecasts work Elo Rating - The rating assigned to a team, which changes every week based on if they win or lose, as well as by the quality of the opponent.  Percentile - The percent of teams within their classification that this team is ranked above.  1 week change - How much the teams Elo rating changed as a result of the last game.  Record - The most likely record that the team will end the regular season with, based on thousands of simulations.  Point diff. - The average of the difference in points scored and points allowed in the regular season, based on thousands of simulations. Make Playoffs - The chance the team will make playoffs, based on thousands of simulations of the remainder of the season. These are rounded, so the totals may not add up to 400%. 

Laredo - 2021 6A District 30

Click here to learn how my forecasts work Elo Rating - The rating assigned to a team, which changes every week based on if they win or lose, as well as by the quality of the opponent.  Percentile - The percent of teams within their classification that this team is ranked above.  1 week change - How much the teams Elo rating changed as a result of the last game.  Record - The most likely record that the team will end the regular season with, based on thousands of simulations.  Point diff. - The average of the difference in points scored and points allowed in the regular season, based on thousands of simulations. Make Playoffs - The chance the team will make playoffs, based on thousands of simulations of the remainder of the season. These are rounded, so the totals may not add up to 400%. 

Killeen - 2021 6A District 12

Click here to learn how my forecasts work Elo Rating - The rating assigned to a team, which changes every week based on if they win or lose, as well as by the quality of the opponent.  Percentile - The percent of teams within their classification that this team is ranked above.  1 week change - How much the teams Elo rating changed as a result of the last game.  Record - The most likely record that the team will end the regular season with, based on thousands of simulations.  Point diff. - The average of the difference in points scored and points allowed in the regular season, based on thousands of simulations. Make Playoffs - The chance the team will make playoffs, based on thousands of simulations of the remainder of the season. These are rounded, so the totals may not add up to 400%. 

Austin - 2021 6A District 25

Click here to learn how my forecasts work Elo Rating - The rating assigned to a team, which changes every week based on if they win or lose, as well as by the quality of the opponent.  Percentile - The percent of teams within their classification that this team is ranked above.  1 week change - How much the teams Elo rating changed as a result of the last game.  Record - The most likely record that the team will end the regular season with, based on thousands of simulations.  Point diff. - The average of the difference in points scored and points allowed in the regular season, based on thousands of simulations. Make Playoffs - The chance the team will make playoffs, based on thousands of simulations of the remainder of the season. These are rounded, so the totals may not add up to 400%. 

Dallas - 2021 6A District 7

Click here to learn how my forecasts work Elo Rating - The rating assigned to a team, which changes every week based on if they win or lose, as well as by the quality of the opponent.  Percentile - The percent of teams within their classification that this team is ranked above.  1 week change - How much the teams Elo rating changed as a result of the last game.  Record - The most likely record that the team will end the regular season with, based on thousands of simulations.  Point diff. - The average of the difference in points scored and points allowed in the regular season, based on thousands of simulations. Make Playoffs - The chance the team will make playoffs, based on thousands of simulations of the remainder of the season. These are rounded, so the totals may not add up to 400%. 

Dallas - 2021 6A District 10

Click here to learn how my forecasts work Elo Rating - The rating assigned to a team, which changes every week based on if they win or lose, as well as by the quality of the opponent.  Percentile - The percent of teams within their classification that this team is ranked above.  1 week change - How much the teams Elo rating changed as a result of the last game.  Record - The most likely record that the team will end the regular season with, based on thousands of simulations.  Point diff. - The average of the difference in points scored and points allowed in the regular season, based on thousands of simulations. Make Playoffs - The chance the team will make playoffs, based on thousands of simulations of the remainder of the season. These are rounded, so the totals may not add up to 400%. 

Houston - 2021 6A District 21

Click here to learn how my forecasts work Elo Rating - The rating assigned to a team, which changes every week based on if they win or lose, as well as by the quality of the opponent.  Percentile - The percent of teams within their classification that this team is ranked above.  1 week change - How much the teams Elo rating changed as a result of the last game.  Record - The most likely record that the team will end the regular season with, based on thousands of simulations.  Point diff. - The average of the difference in points scored and points allowed in the regular season, based on thousands of simulations. Make Playoffs - The chance the team will make playoffs, based on thousands of simulations of the remainder of the season. These are rounded, so the totals may not add up to 400%. 

Rio Grande Valley - 2021 6A District 32

Click here to learn how my forecasts work Elo Rating - The rating assigned to a team, which changes every week based on if they win or lose, as well as by the quality of the opponent.  Percentile - The percent of teams within their classification that this team is ranked above.  1 week change - How much the teams Elo rating changed as a result of the last game.  Record - The most likely record that the team will end the regular season with, based on thousands of simulations.  Point diff. - The average of the difference in points scored and points allowed in the regular season, based on thousands of simulations. Make Playoffs - The chance the team will make playoffs, based on thousands of simulations of the remainder of the season. These are rounded, so the totals may not add up to 400%. 

Dallas - 2021 6A District 9

Click here to learn how my forecasts work Elo Rating - The rating assigned to a team, which changes every week based on if they win or lose, as well as by the quality of the opponent.  Percentile - The percent of teams within their classification that this team is ranked above.  1 week change - How much the teams Elo rating changed as a result of the last game.  Record - The most likely record that the team will end the regular season with, based on thousands of simulations.  Point diff. - The average of the difference in points scored and points allowed in the regular season, based on thousands of simulations. Make Playoffs - The chance the team will make playoffs, based on thousands of simulations of the remainder of the season. These are rounded, so the totals may not add up to 400%. 

San Antonio - 2021 6A District 28

Click here to learn how my forecasts work Elo Rating - The rating assigned to a team, which changes every week based on if they win or lose, as well as by the quality of the opponent.  Percentile - The percent of teams within their classification that this team is ranked above.  1 week change - How much the teams Elo rating changed as a result of the last game.  Record - The most likely record that the team will end the regular season with, based on thousands of simulations.  Point diff. - The average of the difference in points scored and points allowed in the regular season, based on thousands of simulations. Make Playoffs - The chance the team will make playoffs, based on thousands of simulations of the remainder of the season. These are rounded, so the totals may not add up to 400%. 

Houston - 2021 6A District 17

Click here to learn how my forecasts work Elo Rating - The rating assigned to a team, which changes every week based on if they win or lose, as well as by the quality of the opponent.  Percentile - The percent of teams within their classification that this team is ranked above.  1 week change - How much the teams Elo rating changed as a result of the last game.  Record - The most likely record that the team will end the regular season with, based on thousands of simulations.  Point diff. - The average of the difference in points scored and points allowed in the regular season, based on thousands of simulations. Make Playoffs - The chance the team will make playoffs, based on thousands of simulations of the remainder of the season. These are rounded, so the totals may not add up to 400%. 

Houston - 2021 6A District 13

Click here to learn how my forecasts work Elo Rating - The rating assigned to a team, which changes every week based on if they win or lose, as well as by the quality of the opponent.  Percentile - The percent of teams within their classification that this team is ranked above.  1 week change - How much the teams Elo rating changed as a result of the last game.  Record - The most likely record that the team will end the regular season with, based on thousands of simulations.  Point diff. - The average of the difference in points scored and points allowed in the regular season, based on thousands of simulations. Make Playoffs - The chance the team will make playoffs, based on thousands of simulations of the remainder of the season. These are rounded, so the totals may not add up to 400%. 

2021 5A-1 Preseason Composite Rankings

2021 6A Preseason Composite Rankings

Houston - 2021 6A District 20

Click here to learn how my forecasts work Elo Rating - The rating assigned to a team, which changes every week based on if they win or lose, as well as by the quality of the opponent.  Percentile - The percent of teams within their classification that this team is ranked above.  1 week change - How much the teams Elo rating changed as a result of the last game.  Record - The most likely record that the team will end the regular season with, based on thousands of simulations.  Point diff. - The average of the difference in points scored and points allowed in the regular season, based on thousands of simulations. Make Playoffs - The chance the team will make playoffs, based on thousands of simulations of the remainder of the season. These are rounded, so the totals may not add up to 400%. 

San Antonio - 2021 6A District 29

Click here to learn how my forecasts work Elo Rating - The rating assigned to a team, which changes every week based on if they win or lose, as well as by the quality of the opponent.  Percentile - The percent of teams within their classification that this team is ranked above.  1 week change - How much the teams Elo rating changed as a result of the last game.  Record - The most likely record that the team will end the regular season with, based on thousands of simulations.  Point diff. - The average of the difference in points scored and points allowed in the regular season, based on thousands of simulations. Make Playoffs - The chance the team will make playoffs, based on thousands of simulations of the remainder of the season. These are rounded, so the totals may not add up to 400%. 

Houston - 2021 6A District 19

Click here to learn how my forecasts work Elo Rating - The rating assigned to a team, which changes every week based on if they win or lose, as well as by the quality of the opponent.  Percentile - The percent of teams within their classification that this team is ranked above.  1 week change - How much the teams Elo rating changed as a result of the last game.  Record - The most likely record that the team will end the regular season with, based on thousands of simulations.  Point diff. - The average of the difference in points scored and points allowed in the regular season, based on thousands of simulations. Make Playoffs - The chance the team will make playoffs, based on thousands of simulations of the remainder of the season. These are rounded, so the totals may not add up to 400%.